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Showing posts with label Solvay. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Solvay. Show all posts

Friday, July 11, 2008

DotW: Changin' Times



A quick review of the week's news suggests change is afoot. The Dow dropped below 11,000; the second coming of the Jesus phone occurs today (not that Apple needs press from us); and three pharma companies have teamed up to form a for-profit biotech called Enlight Biosciences to develop drug discovery enabling technologies. What next?

For starters, the FDA seems determined to play nice, admitting this week that although epilepsy drug come with the potential for suicide, that isn't enough to warrant a so-called black box warning. Is this the same safety conscious FDA we've come to know and love? Yes, apparently concerned that a warning label might cause doctors and patients to abandon treatment, an advisory committee voted 14-4 against adding the dreaded black box. (Almost certainly, they hadn't overdosed on Chantix.)

In another sign of its new openness, our august regulatory body has also decided to do away with the oxymoron, "approvable letter," which far as we can tell means the exact opposite. The FDA's new stamp of non-approval will be a “complete response” letter that “will describe specific deficiencies and, when possible, will outline recommended actions the applicant might take to get the application ready for approval,” the agency said in a statement. (We are waiting for the "incomplete response letter", but maybe that can't be tied to a PDUFA date.)

And there are shifts on the follow-on biologics front, as Insmed announced results of a study showing bioequivalence between its INS-19 compound and Amgen's blockbuster Neupogen. That could trigger renewed discussion of biogenerics legislation on the Hill. Neupogen, after all, rang up $1 billion in sales in 2007 alone.

Finally, BNet's David Hamilton believes that big changes are afoot at Pfizer, which continues to struggle with the new math of this century's blockbusters. According to Hamilton, "Pfizer is starting to restructure itself into into a marketing-centric, research-light drug company that will most likely be looking for acquisitions in order to restock its depleted drug pipeline." We can but hope. And who knows, perhaps generics--or at least the word diversification--will be part of is mantra. For more on Pfizer's strategy, check out Roger Longman's recent IN VIVO feature. (Coincidentally, Merck KGaA's CEO Karl-Ludwig Kley told the German newspaper Handelsblatt that his company's chemicals division, which makes liquid crystals and specialty chemicals, is 'part of our DNA,' indicating he rules out a sale of the business.)

If true, perhaps Pfizer can dodge Dylan's prophecy: "As the present now will later be past, the order is rapidly fadin'. And the first one now, will later be last. The times they are a changin'" Come gather round people, wherever you roam, it's time for...

Fresenius/APP and Fresenius/Galenica: The German health care products and services company Fresenius gets fearless investor of the week honors for wading into the heparin controversy via a $4.6 billion (at least) buyout of APP, and for following up by acquiring rights to Galenica’s injectable iron product Injectafer—currently “not approvable” at FDA following an advisory committee review that concluded that the drug has a mortality disadvantage compared to oral iron. Of course, there’s a nicer way of spinning things. The APP acquisition gives Fresenius Kabi, a “cornerstone” to build a hospital products pharma presence in the US—and does it at a time when APP is generating explosive profit growth since finding itself as the sole supplier of heparin in the US. Fresenius will be able to ride that wave—though it will also pay more for APP if profits are higher than projected. (You can read the deal terms here.) So far, APP has looked like the hero in the heparin story. The company has also jacked up the price of its product now that is the sole supplier in the US—as much as tripling the price—which could be a risky move given the political attention to the heparin market after Baxter’s catastrophe. (APP defends the price increase in part by noting that its product is still significantly cheaper than any possible alternatives like low molecular weight heparin or Angiomax.) The acquisition, though, may make it less obvious how big a windfall APP reaps from heparin, since its numbers will now be consolidated into the new parent. That could limit its political exposure.

The Galenica deal involves a different division of Fresenius, the dialysis services company Fresenius Medical Care. And the immediate focus is on Galenica’s two marketed injectable iron brands (Venofer and Ferinect). The two companies are creating a joint venture focused specifically on the dialysis market; and in North America a second agreement with Galenica’s partner Luitpold secures the same split responsibilities. Venofer alone is about a $250 million product in the US. And Fresenius will have rights to Injectefer if and when it reaches the market. Despite the regulatory setback, Fresenius says Injectefer “is expected to enhance the treatment of anemia in the dialysis patient population through the application of innovative drug administration techniques.”

Novartis/Speedel: A series of insider stock sales by executives of the Swiss biotech Speedel will add up to the acquisition of the company by its main partner Novartis. On July 10th Speedel said officers of the company, including founder and CEO Alice Huxley, sold their stakes—totaling 51.7% of the outstanding shares—to Novartis at CHF 130 per share. Add to that Novartis’ existing 9.7% stake and the Big Pharma was obliged to make a mandatory public offer to buy the rest of the company’s shares. The acquisition—which values Speedel at about $880 million—is neither unexpected nor particularly expensive, especially in the light of Speedel’s recent stock market decline and the companies’ symbiotic relationship. Speedel in 1999 in-licensed its lead renin inhibitor aliskiren (Tekturna/Rasilez) from Novartis, and Novartis clawed back the drug in 2002 (a 2004 discussion of Speedel’s business model is here). Though successfully approved, the drug has underperformed, putting pressure on Speedel’s stock and disappointing Novartis. That said, the drug remains Novartis’ best post-Diovan strategy (that antihypertensive goes off patent in 2012) and even at $880 million analysts point out that the Big Pharma is essentially tapping the rest of Speedel’s renin-heavy pipeline for free.

Solvay/Innogenetics: We have a winner. Solvay trumped Gen-Probe's hostile bid for Innogenetics with a higher bid of its own, and Gen-Probe has no desire to counter the counter-offer. Analysts widely expected Solvay to up its original April bid for Innogenetics, which was only 5.75 euros a share, when Gen-Probe offered 6.10 euros-a-share in an effort to transform itself into the world's largest stand-alone moelcular diagnostics company. On Wednesday, Solvay announced it would pay 6.50 euros-a-share for the Belgian company--about $361 million--and Gen-Probe decided to take its ball and go home. For Gen-Probe, winning Innogenetics was always a long-shot. The San Diego company, which had 2007 revenue of $403 million and a market valuation of more than $2.83 billion, hasn't done an acquisition since 2003 when it bought Molecular Light Technology for $11 million. Solvay, meanwhile, is a much larger outfit with revenues of roughly $15 billion, and has the economic advantage of making a friendly offer in a stronger currency than the rapidly sliding dollar.

Thermage/Reliant: For aesthetic device companies, where sales and marketing account for the biggest costs and a number of the newer one-product companies find themselves bumping into each other at the physicians’ office, consolidation is the order of the day. Several weeks ago, Medicis purchased Liposonix. Now skin tightening firm Thermage has snapped up skin surfacing company Reliant for $95 million, paid in a combination of stock and cash. Together, these two companies, which offer complementary aesthetic technologies, had $137 million in revenues for the fiscal year that ended in March 2008, according to the press release announcing the deal. The tie-up solves a key problem for Reliant; it was running out of money, having failed to execute the IPO it filed in 2007, perhaps because of its steep post-money valuation, which was north of $200 million. Reliant will also benefit from Thermage’s unique sales model of deploying two separate sales forces, one selling capital equipment, and the other, the disposable tips its devices require. Almost certainly, Thermage’s disposables sales force can help push Reliant’s creams and skin care products.

Lilly/SGX: Lilly receives this week's award for opportunistic acquirer. On Tuesday, the pharma announced a $64 million takeout of its research partner, SGX Pharmaceuticals. Like many other biotechs, SGX has been in a pickle: As of Tuesday July 8, it was trading at a discount to its existing cash reserves--meaning investors believed the company was worth less than the number on its own bank balance. This wasn't always the case, but the company took a hit when its lead project SGX523, a MET inhibitor in Phase I, showed dose-limiting toxicities earlier than expected, and investors fled the stock. With a dwindling bank account and no hope of tapping the public market, SGX had little choice but to sell when Lilly came courting. For more check out this post from earlier in the week.

(A big thanks to fellow Windhover writers Michael McCaughan, Chris Morrison, and Mary Stuart for contributions to this post.)

Friday, February 29, 2008

Deals of the Week: the Good, the Bad and the Ugly

We're usually bad-news-first kind of bloggers, but that's not how the old spaghetti western poster reads, so you'll just have to wait. It was a bit of a mixed bag this week for the industry, with a couple of solid slugs of clinical data from Novartis (its mTOR inhibitor everolimus impressed in a Phase III study) and Alnylam (Phase II data for ALN-RSV01 were positive). AZ even got approval for Nexium in kids aged 1-11 (at $164 for 30 capsules those kids are gonna have to sell a lot of lemonade). Bad news, typically, seemed easier to come by: Lilly's long-acting Zyprexa injection was deemed not approvable, Elan and Biogen's warned docs of Tysabri liver damage potential, FDA decided to scrap its anti-infectives panel meeting to the chagrin of Basilea and Theravance, and AZ's lung cancer drug Recentin failed its pivotal study. On top of all that, a few entire classes of drugs (antidepressants, EPOs) had pesky and problematic meta-analyses to contend with. Pfizer's pitchman Dr. Jarvik row, row, rowed gently down the stream (but not before Pharmagossip unearthed this hilarious 1986 Playboy article about the artificial heart pioneer). And then there's the ugly:

As we mentioned earlier this morning: the heparin story continues to get worse, and if we see any more pictures of pig intestines in China we are going to be sick. But lets forget all that for just a moment. Lets get to the point of this rambling post. Lets settle in.

Because you see, in this world there's two kinds of people, my friends ... those with loaded guns, and those who dig. You dig ...
Galderma/CollaGenex: Galderma’s $420 million tender offer on Tuesday for CollaGenex marks the third recent major acquisition of a specialty dermatology company, joining Nycomed/Bradley ($330 million, in October 2007) and Almirall/Hermal (July 2007, for $518 million) as part of a trend initiated in October 2006, when Steifel Laboratories bought Connetics for $640 million. The CollaGenex deal, at a 30% premium to its recent price and a 100% increase over the company’s stock price less than four months ago, was the result of a competitive bidding process, according to the company. “The price tag reflects how hungry the dermatology companies are for assets,” notes Leerink Swann analyst Gary Nachman. The merger will place two products often used in combination under the same roof: Galderma’s topical rosacea drug MetroGel, one of the privately held company’s key branded products, and Collagenex’s Oracea, the first systemic drug for treating rosacea. Approved in the US in July 2006, Oracea, a low-dose, delayed release formulation of doxycycline that works as an anti-inflammatory but not an anti-bacterial drug, will comprise $50-51 million of CollaGenex’s projected $61-62 million revenues for 2007. Galderma also gets an 80-person sales force, and with an existing US commercial presence, it should be able to experience some cost savings through the combination. (Medigene holds the EU rights to Oracea.) Galderma could further bolster its rosacea franchise down the road with CollaGenex’s COL-118, a formulation of the ophthalmology drug brimodine, expected to move into Phase III in mid-2008 as the first potential treatment for erythema, the skin redness associated with rosacea. Galderma also gets Collagenex’s early Phase II vitamin D analog becocalcidol, licensed from QuatRx Pharmaceuticals in May 2007, in development for mild/moderate psoriasis.

Actelion/Nippon Shinyaku: Terms of this (impending) licensing deal weren't disclosed, but nevertheless the agreement underscores the momentum in pulmonary arterial hypertension therapies--Just last week Pfizer announced it was buying Encysive, another PAH-driven deal. Today, Actelion has signed a "binding letter of intent" to license Nippon Shinyaku's novel PGI-2 receptor agonist NS-304, and is responsible for global development and commercialization of the candidate ex-Japan (in Japan, the two co's will co-develop and co-promote). The project is currently in Phase II development in Europe. Actelion, built on the back of the success of its own PAH therapy Tracleer, isn't likely taking much of a financial risk to add this orally available compound to its pipeline.

Cypress/Proprius: Cypress Bioscience said on Monday it was acquiring Proprius Pharmaceuticals, a privately held "specialty pharma company," for up to $75 million--half now, half later, based on milestones. Proprius bills itself as a personalized medicine play, with a focus on rheumatology diagnostics and therapeutics. Should those dx/rx candidates make it to market, Cypress aims to capitalize on the specialty rheumatology/pain sales force it will unleash to market its lead milnacipran fibromyalgia drug, which is being co-developed and co-promoted with Forest Labs, and is currently under FDA review. Proprius' investors didn't have to wait long for a return: the company's first venture round was last January, when it raised $11 million of a planned $17 million Series A.

And finally a bonus no-deal of the week: Wyeth has dumped its bifeprunox partner Solvay, citing commercial considerations. In a statement the jilter noted it was terminating the deal after "assessing the opportunity for bifeprunox and determining it would not have sufficient commercial value for the two companies to share." Solvay investors sent the company's shares down more than three percent. We noted Wyeth's pipeline troubles in a post last year.
soundtrack sample from Shobary's Spaghetti Westerns

Wednesday, August 15, 2007

Wyeth's Leaky Pipeline

Poor Wyeth. The bad news just keeps coming. First came the FDA's July 24 letter asking for an additional year-long study of the company's menopause drug Pristiq. Then on August 10, the company announced it's own "daily double": a non-approvable letter for bifeprunox, a Phase III schizophrenia drug it's developing with Solvay Pharmaceuticals; and the preliminary halt of a study of HCV-796, a Hepatitis C drug Wyeth is co-developing with ViroPharma.

In addition to this negative trifecta, there's an on-going legal battle with generic-drug maker Teva over Wyeth's Protonix patent. (Wyeth has asked for an injunction to prevent the launch of the generic prior to the drug's patent expiration in 2010. A decision on the matter could come any day between now and September 7.) Perhaps it's no wonder the stock has been sliding. As of yesterday, Wyeth shares had fallen nearly 24% from their May high of $59.

Coming hard on the heels of the Pristiq news, the announcements about bifeprunox and HCV-796 must have been hard for Wyeth execs to swallow. DrugResearcher reports that just a few days prior, at the Drug Discovery & Development of Therapeutics Conference in Boston, Tom Hofstaetter, Wyeth's head of business development, told attendees that the pharma industry's productivity woes were a thing of the past. "The pipelines are more diverse and better quality than ever before," claimed Hofstaetter.

Ah, sweet irony. Seems like Wyeth's "diverse pipeline" has sprung a sizeable leak. And that puts additional pressure on the success of on-going collaborations with Progenics and Elan in pain and Alzheimer's disease. You don't have to be a brain surgeon--or even a lowly Windhover reporter--to know that the company is going to have to act--and fast--to shore things up. Investors are a flighty bunch and few these days are patient enough to endure a protracted turn-around.

Barbara Ryan, an analyst with Deutsche Bank, summed it up in her investor note: "While our expectations for Wyeth's pipeline have been relatively modest, it is now clear to all that the combined commercial potential of these products won't be sufficient to replenish revenues that will be lost at the end of the decade to generics." In the immortal words of Homer Simpson:"Doh."

I'm a glass full kind of gal. Earlier this year Wyeth won approval for Torisel, it's kidney cancer drug, and Lybrel, it's birth-control pill. More importantly, Wyeth is sitting on $12.19 billion in cash--money it could use to in-license some much needed late stage compounds or acquire smaller outfits to build up it's existing neurological or large-molecule franchises.

Still it's tough to see how Wyeth can quickly plug it's leaks through M&A or alliances. The company simply doesn't have much of a history as a deal-maker. (For a review of Big Pharma's acquisitive nature see these April and May IN VIVO articles, but be warned: Wyeth only gets mentioned in discussion of Big Pharma out-licensing [Wyeth's Hofstaetter tells us that Wyeth has to outlicense because it is over-productive in internal R&D] and as a non-acquirer.)

In fact, a quick search of Windhover's Strategic Transactions Database shows that, historically, Wyeth favors research-stage alliances over acquistions. In the past six years, the company has brokered only two deals for Phase III products--a $416.5 million deal for Progenics' pain drug methylnaltrexone and a $145.5 million deal for Solvay's bifeprunox. The other big deals? A 2004 alliance with Plexxikon for rights to its Phase I drug PLX-204 for Type II Diabetes worth $22 million, and a 2006 deal with Trubion Pharmaceuticals for rights to CD-20 targeted therapies worth $41 million. (See chart below.)

And you have to go back to the mid-1990s--a time when the names Wyeth-Ayerst and American Home Products were still in use--to find a buy-out linked to the company. Compare that with AstraZeneca and Pfizer, which, in the past five years, have spent $17 billion and $4.2 billion respectively snapping up biotech companies.

It's going to be an interesting few months for Wyeth. You can bet the IN VIVO Blog will be watching--and writing. And Wyeth execs, if you want to talk strategy, we are all ears.

(click chart to enlarge)