Ah, awards season. Why should film critics have all the fun? And voting! It's not just for presidential elections. This year your IN VIVO Blog team is nominating a handful of alliances, acquisitions, financings, regulatory negotiations and legislative compromises in our First Annual DOTY competition. And then you, dear readers, will vote (early and often, we hope) for the winner. Imaginary federal and international biopharmaceutical statutes prohibit us from awarding a monetary prize. But our winners, when they die, on their deathbeds, they will receive total consciousness. So they've got that going for them, which is nice.
In some circles, the event had its own acronym: LLOE – Lipitor Loss of Exclusivity. Now it has a date: Nov. 30, 2011 -- the end of the primary care era for pharma. Think that’s a little extreme? Well, you don’t get to be a Deal of the Year Nominee by playing it safe.
Except in this case you do. While most of the DotYNs you’ve read about here are essentially bets by firms that big ideas will work out in one form or another, this was a tale of two companies not wanting to take a chance. As we explained in the Pink Sheet, the deal gives some certainty to both sides, but what it really offers is closure.
In an era when product expirations – either through the lifting of exclusivity or the weight of safety problems--seem more common than product launches, this deal is an example of how big pharma can try to take its primary care jumbo jets in for soft landings. Protonix’s fall to earth offered a number of lessons for generic and brand firms to learn, and Ranbaxy seems to have gotten some good practice deal-making when it worked out a settlement on Nexium with AstraZeneca.
With the lawsuit behind them, both Ranbaxy and Pfizer can focus on what’s next. For Ranbaxy, it’s resolving manufacturing problems and figuring out how to be a regional growth engine for a big pharma. (The Daiichi/Ranbaxy merger, which may have contributed to the Pfizer settlement, is also a DotYN – vote for them both!)
For Pfizer, the question is how to learn to love being a drug maker again. CEO Jeffery Kindler may not have all the answers to that one yet, but by acknowledging the end of the Lipitor relationship, he’s moving in the right direction. Failing to recognize the seriousness of the problem helped cost the previous management team its jobs, so the decision to sign the divorce papers with the firm’s biggest product perversely takes a weight off the company.
But while the Ranbaxy settlement is a great example of what a company like Pfizer can get when it has a former general counsel as its CEO, that talent for certainty may also be emblematic of what a firm might miss out on. Because while some other new big pharma CEOs have been out trying to gobble up innovative technology or swallow up successful partners, one of the principal development decisions Pfizer has made with Kindler at the helm has been to stop placing bets on cardiovascular research.
But at least the financial community now knows how to model PFE’s LLOE. And so we formally nominate Pfizer/Ranbaxy for achievement in the category of playing it safe.
image by flickr user maxymedia used under a creative commons license.
Monday, December 15, 2008
Deals of the Year Nominee: Pfizer/Ranbaxy
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M. Nielsen Hobbs
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Labels: DOTY, generics, Pfizer, Ranbaxy, Wacky World of Generics
Friday, December 05, 2008
Deals of the Year Nominee: Daiichi/Ranbaxy
Your next IVBDOTY nominee is Daiichi's bid to buy a big old $4 billion stake in the Indian generic drugmaker Ranbaxy Laboratories. And what a bumpy ride it has been.Lets start at the beginning. Ranbaxy announced in June the Japanese Pharma's bid for a controlling interest in the company, which it would buy in large part from the founding Singh family. The bid valued the company at about $8.5 billion based on currency values at the time.
The word on the street was that Daiichi's move, to be financed with cash and debt, was "bold and entirely out of character." But as we said then, it should not have been surprising that Daiichi was going to do something with its $6 billion cash reserves. To remain competitive with its Japanese brethren, particularly Takeda and Eisai which have been particularly acquisitive, the firm needed to ink a major transaction that would extend its reach beyond the stagnant home market, where annual government-mandated price-cuts on drugs and a slower regulatory approvals process make for a tough business climate. (For more on the pressures facing Japanese pharmas, check out this story from our January 2007 IN VIVO.)
And like Takeda and Eisai, which are facing patent exipirations on crucial drugs such as Prevacid, Actos, and Aricept, Daiichi has its own pipeline worries to think about: the company's website lists just three Phase III compounds, including the oft-discussed and risky prasugrel it has partnered with Eli Lilly (we later chimed in with some big news about when that drug might meet an FDA advisory committee). In May it acquired the German antibody developer U3 Pharma, presumably to increase its large molecule capabilities.
So: We've got Daiichi betting big on both a massive emerging market and generics. And not to go all Arlo Guthrie on you two weeks in a row, but one deal like this might be odd (and we're paraphrasing here) but three deals where large pharmas start putting bets down on generics players in emerging markets, well that might be considered a movement.
And guess what: Sanofi-Aventis did after all buy a stake in Zentiva this year and GSK acquired the South African generics play Aspen Pharmaceuticals. Maybe it's not a movement, but it's certainly a trend to watch.
Not that it has been easy for Daiichi in the months between its initial bid and closing the deal. First there is the small matter of a US Department of Justice probe into Ranbaxy related to "systemic fraudulent conduct" by the generics maker, plus complications from India's Securities and Exchange Board (as detailed here by our cousin publication PharmAsiaNews), and doubtful investors.
By mid-October Daiichi had secured about 20% of Ranbaxy and the deal was expected to close by the end of the year. So why vote for Daiichi/Ranbaxy? For the brand-generic yin and yang? For the emerging market strategy? For the drama and the intrigue? At Deals of the Year we've got a bit of everything.
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Chris Morrison
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Labels: Daiichi Sankyo, DOTY, mergers and acquisitions, polls, Ranbaxy
Monday, September 22, 2008
While you were winning/losing some
This weekend saw two major sports upsets, though neither was as shocking as the deep six of the global financial markets just a week ago. At last, the US finally won back the Ryder Cup, ending nine years of European domination; meanwhile, NFL fans not rooted in the six New England states cheered as the Miami Dolphins absolutely obliterated the Patriots defense with an annoyingly-simple-yet-hard-to-beat "Wildcat play" that snapped the Patriots 21 straight regular season wins. (The last loss was Dec. 10, 2006, coincidentally against the Dolphins.)
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Tom Salemi
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Labels: Bayer, DTC Advertising, generics, Ranbaxy, While You Were ...
Thursday, July 17, 2008
Wacky World of Generics: Painful Historical Parallels Edition
It is amazing to think—at a time when generic drugs are the political golden child, everybody’s favorite starting point for reining in costs, and everybody’s hope for controlling spending on biologics—that it was just two decades ago that generic drugs were perceived as inherently suspect. Company after company was accused of fraud, and dozens of products were withdrawn from the market.
So no one in the generic sector wants to read that the government is alleging “systematic fraudulent conduct” on Ranbaxy’s part.
Ranbaxy, of course, wants to read that least of all—certainly not while a $4.6 billion merger with Daiichi Sankyo is pending. (PharmAsia News has all the details on what is known about the investigation, and the speculation that it might affect the pending merger of the two companies.)
The companies say the deal is not in jeopardy. The bottom line for proceeding: Ranbaxy says the scope of the investigation is fully understood by Daiichi and the risks to the business as a whole aren’t worth worrying too much about.
Daiichi better hope so.
The alternative is not pretty. The downside risk may best by captured by considering what happened to Fujisawa went it bought out Lyphomed in 1989. The transaction came after a Lyphomed faced a round of manufacturing compliance issues that had seemingly been resolved.
The deal was a disaster on every level for Fujisawa. It turned out that FDA wasn’t done with Lyphomed by a long shot, not as the full extent of issues related to fraud in the generic drug sector started to come to light.
How big a disaster? Well, Fujisawa paid about $1 billion to buy Lyphomed, and ended up writing off $575 million when it finally unloaded the business in 1998. (The buyer? APP, which is being acquired itself a decade later.) Fujisawa spent millions cleaning up the business along the way, including withdrawing many products it acquired because of questions about potential fraud in the applications. Worst of all, Fujisawa’s own products were held up as a result of FDA’s concerns, putting its relationship with Medco Research for Adenoscan in jeopardy.
And strategically, it certainly didn’t help Fujisawa achieve its primary goal of building in the US. Fujisawa has since merged with Yamanouchi, and the new company—Astellas—is still working on that goal.
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Michael McCaughan
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Labels: Astellas, Daiichi Sankyo, Ranbaxy, Wacky World of Generics
Tuesday, June 24, 2008
Did Pfizer Get A Wedding Favor From Ranbaxy And Daiichi?
By now, you’ve probably heard that Ranbaxy and Daiichi have fallen in love—or at least entered a mutually binding financial agreement to that effect.
So where does this leave others who had a relationship with Ranbaxy—like Pfizer, for example? The brand and generic giants were never romantically linked (although there were rumors) but they did have an involvement that touched each to the core: Ranbaxy was the first-to-file challenger for Pfizer’s mega-blockbuster Lipitor, and they’ve been in court ever since.
But now the fight seems to be over: A week after Ranbaxy and Daiichi announced they were tying the knot, Ranbaxy and Pfizer said they were cutting a deal to end their legal entanglement.
It gives Pfizer closure on its love affair with the blockbuster statin, but what does it do for Ranbaxy? Well, it provides a fair bit of certainty in terms of revenue projection—and that may be what a company looking to settle down wants—but we wondered whether Ranbaxy could have gotten a better deal if it didn’t have to worry about what another corporation would think about it.
Did Daiichi’s heft make Pfizer take the risk of an “at risk” launch more seriously, or did Daiichi tell Ranbaxy that once they moved in together it couldn’t stay out carousing all night in strange legal jurisdictions?
In the discussions we’ve had on the matter, people tend to be divided. Those who look at the world through a merger lens think that Daiichi acted as a sensible ball and chain, helping to wrap up a potentially damaging distraction before it got out of hand. Those who spend their time thinking about selling products and suing people, though, think that Daiichi may have offered a nice dowry that Pfizer was afraid could become a war chest.
Tell us what you think!
--M. Nielsen Hobbs
(Photo courtesy of Flickr user Pardesi via a creative commons license.)
Friday, June 13, 2008
DotW: The Heat Is On
The temperature has been hot--and so has the deal-making. We counted at least 273 deals in the past five days. Not really. We actually stopped counting on Tuesday because there were already too many to keep track of. And that was before the week's biggest deals: the Ranbaxy/ Daiichi Sankyo and Invitrogen/ Applied Biosystems tie-ups (see below).
Janssen/Astex: Johnson & Johnson’s Janssen Pharmaceutica is taking a license to Astex Therapeutics’ novel fibroblast growth factor receptor (FGFR) inhibitor program and is starting new discovery programs on two additional drug targets. The deal, announced Monday, sees Janssen paying $37 million in upfront, cash and equity payments and research funding to Astex as well as potential milestones and royalties. Janssen’s Ortho Biotech arm is responsible for all preclinical and clinical development on all three programs. Astex retains an option to co-commercialize any FGFR projects in the US. Astex CEO Harren Jhoti, PhD, told IN VIVO’s sister publication “The Pink Sheet” Daily that the lead FGFR program is only at the lead optimization stage but given the strong interest in the program—which, he says, is highly specific and should therefore avoid side effects that have hindered other firms’ efforts—“we were able to command pretty significant financials.”
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Ellen Licking
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Labels: alliances, Daiichi Sankyo, deals of the week, Genentech, Johnson and Johnson, mergers and acquisitions, Ranbaxy, UCB
Wednesday, June 11, 2008
Daiichi/Ranbaxy: Eating Big Pharma's Lunch
Could Japanese pharmas be the Godzillas of the drug industry? With the money these outfits have been throwing around, they are certainly putting pressure on Big Pharma to up their deal ante. Consider that in the last six months there have been three multi-billion dollar buy-outs by mid-sized Japanese companies: Eisai bought MGI Pharma for $3.3 billion in cash in December; Takeda purchased Millennium for nearly $9 billion; and now comes news that Daiichi Sankyo is taking a controlling interest in the Indian drug giant Ranbaxy for $4.6 billion.
Friday, May 16, 2008
Deals of the Week: Not Quite Exits, But OK Given the Circumstances
It’s hardly news that most biotechs can’t buy an investor. So it’s nice to see a few signs of progress.
Take pharma-ignored cell therapy. The stem cell world got a boost as two smart guys from biotech – Paul Grayson from Sanderling and John Mendlein, most recently CEO at biological-platform play Adnexus (sold for $500 million to Bristol-Myers Squibb) -- joined a bunch of scientists at Fate Therapeutics.
Elsewhere in the cell-therapy world: we’ve been wondering (in this post, for example) why big biotech deals so often cause biotech shares to drop. But not at Cell Genesys, whose Takeda deal started the company’s stock up a satisfyingly steep incline, virtually doubling as investors absorbed the news that somebody in Pharma, finally, had seen the value of cell therapy (albeit a pretty pharmaceuticalized version). Now it’s done the smart thing – raising $30 million from shares and warrants in a one-investor PIPE. It probably still feels the financing came at a pretty dilutive rate (something like $330 million pre-money) but hardly the dismal barely-above-cash-value price it was trading at a few months ago.
Now with that ringing endorsement we bring you ...

Intercell/Iomai: And as for exits – or quasi-exits: from the outside, things looked pretty bleak for vaccine-play Iomai, which had less than a year of cash when the Austrian Intercell said on Tuesday that it was buying the patch-tastic drug and vaccine delivery company for $6.60 per share, valuing the company at $189 million. Intercell gets a few mid-to-late-stage patch-vaccine programs from Iomai, including one for travelers’ diarrhea that may enter pivotal trials as soon as the first half of next year, as well as a second deal with Merck & Co. around Iomai’s patch with an undisclosed vaccine. Deal doesn’t do much immediately for the major investors, presumably the VCs like New Enterprise Associates and Essex Woodlands who have been stuck in the stock since taking it public in 2006 at $7/share at about an $85 million pre-money. They’ve got to take Intercell shares for their stake (which are at least far more liquid than Iomai’s were). We noted the predicament of these VCs and others who have found themselves ‘marooned in the public markets’ only last month in START-UP.
Antisoma/Xanthus: Similar issue for backers of Xanthus. Antisoma, the UK cancer-focused biotech, is acquiring the Boston-based start-up for ₤26.8 million in stock. Antisoma seems to have gotten a great deal. On a total of about $90 million invested from its VCs, Xanthus has managed to create a real pipeline, largely through in-licensing. It’s put four drugs into clinicals, with two leading the way: Xanafide is starting a Phase III trial in secondary acute myeloid leukemia under an SPA; and FDA has accepted Xanthus’ filing for oral oral fludarabine, to which its got US rights (the product is marketed in Europe and elsewhere). Most of Xanthus’ pipeline was spun out of Schering AG in a series of deals as that firm was integrating into Bayer, a deal we chronicled here in 2006. (Interestingly, before that, Xanthus had managed to grab another, earlier stage asset (P2045), a peptide coupled to a radioisotope which had originally come from biotech Diatide—which had been run by Xanthus CEO Richard Dean, PhD, and VP of development John Lister-James, PhD.) Xanthus’ backers won’t get free of Xanthus immediately: they’re putting about a third of the $42 million or so in new money Antisoma is raising simultaneously with the deal.
Merck/Ranbaxy: Now for something completely different. On Monday, Merck announced a partnership with Indian drug giant Ranbaxy in the anti-infective space. For an undisclosed up-front fee and milestones potentially totaling more than $100 million, Ranbaxy will search for anti-bacterial and anti-fungal compounds, taking compounds through Phase IIa before handing them back to Merck for additional human studies and commercialization. Merck won’t release details but Mervyn Turner, PhD, SVP for world-wide licensing and external research at Merck assures IN VIVO Blog that the proper incentives to keep both sides motivated have been built in. Still, it’s anybody’s guess what happens if Ranbaxy’s compounds don’t pan out. Does Ranbaxy get them back? Is the company still eligible for monetary compensation? “It’s all covered under the agreement,” says Turner.
This most recent deal comes on the heels of two other similarly structured deals Merck has inked in India: a November 2007 agreement with NPIL Research and Development (formerly part of Nicholas Piramal) in the oncology space and a 2006 partnership with Advinus Therapeutics in the metabolic disease arena. For Merck, the deals are all about expanding pipeline and pipeline capacity. Merck doesn’t have to fund much development, so doesn’t take a big P&L hit, but still has the right to step back in if something interesting results. We’re likely to see more such deals in the future. Increasingly Big Pharma is thinking virtual: companies once proud of their FIPCO status are openly discussing their desire to transform themselves into FIPNets (fully integrated pharmaceutical networks). Lilly, in particular, is a big proponent, and we have more on their strategy in a story in the May IN VIVO along with another piece in the same issue on Pfizer’s ideas for externalizing its pipeline.
BMS/KAI: We’ve already noted here the tie-up between Bristol-Myers Squibb and Kai Pharmaceuticals on an acute-care IV-delivery heart attack drug, KAI-9803. KAI had reformulated the compound from the original intra-coronary version it had licensed and gotten back from Sankyo, following that company’s merger with Daiichi, but the deal is also the second in Bristol’s so-called string-of-pearls strategy (after its Adnexus acquisition in 2007). No longer as big a Cahuna in the drug world as it once was, Bristol has been transforming itself into a specialist player, looking to layer in externally sourced next-generation R&D programs. If they’re good, they’ll come at a Big Cahuna cost, however -- pretty much just as Plavix is losing patent protection and with it a huge chunk of Bristol’s current operating cash flow. That’s why the company is trying to raise money now to fund its strategy, selling off Convatec ($4.1 billion) to a couple of private equity groups and IPO’ing Mead Johnson, keeping 10-20% and reaping maybe $900 million - $1.7 billion (with the possibility of selling off more over time).
By
Roger Longman
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12:36 PM
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Labels: alliances, BMS, cell therapy, deals of the week, Exits, Merck, mergers and acquisitions, Ranbaxy, venture capital